International Monetary Fund forecast: COVID19 vaccines will power a stronger global economic recovery in 2021
In Tuesday's International Monetary Fund outlook, the dissemination of COVID-19 vaccines will fuel a stronger global economic recovery in 2021.
The global economy will rise 5.5 percent this year, the
190-country lending organisation projected, after slipping 3.5 percent in 2020,
the worst year since World War II. The new figure for 2021 is an improvement
from the IMF estimate of 5.2 percent growth in October and will mark the
fastest year of global growth since the 2010 financial crisis snapback.
Vaccines should contain the spread of the virus and promote
lockdowns by governments around the world and enable a return to normal
economic activity. But the IMF also says that economies around the world will
need their governments' help to compensate for the damage caused by the
pandemic and warns that coronavirus mutations could cloud global health and
economic growth prospects.
The IMF said in an update to its World Economic Outlook that
it expects the U.S. economy, the world's largest, to rise by 5.1% this year
after crashing by 3.4% in 2020. After eking out a 2.3 percent rise in 2020, No.
2 China is projected to record 8.1 percent growth.
According to the IMF, the 19 European countries sharing the
euro currency will collectively report 4.2 percent growth this year after
having a 7.2 percent economic production crater in 2020. In 2020, the Japanese
economy is expected to expand 3.1 percent, reversing a 5.1 percent decrease.
Thanks to a faster-than-expected recovery in its factories
and farms, the IMF gave India a big upgrade: the Indian economy is forecast to
grow 11.5 percent in 2021, the fastest among major economies, and a decrease of
8 percent from 2020.
The Agency also expects global trade to recover this year,
with growth of 8.1 percent after dropping 9.6 percent last year.
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